Cards › 2018 Topps Chrome Update Shohei Ohtani #HMT32 Red Refractor

Is the 2018 Topps Chrome Update Shohei Ohtani #HMT32 Red Refractor worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-10-21 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value

$3,349.00

PSA 9 value

$2,073.00

PSA 10 value

$148,344.66

PSA 10 gem rate

60%

Based on the numbers below, this card is a strong grading candidate at current prices: a PSA 10 nets an estimated $122,391 profit and 60% of recent submissions gemmed.

The breakeven math

Line item	Amount
Raw purchase	$3,349.00
Sales tax (8%)	$267.92
Grading fee (priority tier)	$80.00
Shipping	$5.00
Total cost basis	$3,701.92
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout)	+$122,391.04 (+3306%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case)	−$1,939.87

Assumptions: $80 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

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Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (10 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing