Cards › 2018 Topps Holiday Shohei Ohtani #HMW17
Is the 2018 Topps Holiday Shohei Ohtani #HMW17 worth grading?
Live market numbers as of 2026-06-22 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.
Raw value
$76.00
PSA 9 value
$120.00
PSA 10 value
$313.86
PSA 10 gem rate
64.4%
Based on the numbers below, this card is a strong grading candidate at current prices: a PSA 10 nets an estimated $155 profit and 64.4% of recent submissions gemmed.
The breakeven math
| Line item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Raw purchase | $76.00 |
| Sales tax (8%) | $6.08 |
| Grading fee (value tier) | $25.00 |
| Shipping | $5.00 |
| Total cost basis | $112.08 |
| Net at PSA 10 (85% payout) | +$154.70 (+138%) |
| Net at PSA 9 (the downside case) | −$10.08 |
Assumptions: $25 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.
Run this card with YOUR costs
Set your own grading tier, tax rate, and payout — then screen the entire catalog for cards that beat this one. Free for 14 days, no credit card.
Start free trialCard pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (6,254 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing