Cards › 2018 Topps Update Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout #US158 Black

Is the 2018 Topps Update Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout #US158 Black worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-10-21 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value

$1,725.31

PSA 9 value

$442.50

PSA 10 value

$1,248.28

PSA 10 gem rate

43.8%

Based on the numbers below, this card is likely not worth grading at current prices — even a PSA 10 result loses an estimated $887 after costs.

The breakeven math

Line item	Amount
Raw purchase	$1,725.31
Sales tax (8%)	$138.02
Grading fee (priority tier)	$80.00
Shipping	$5.00
Total cost basis	$1,948.33
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout)	−$887.30 (-46%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case)	−$1,572.21

Assumptions: $80 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

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Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (16 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing