Cards › 2024 Topps Chrome Black Shohei Ohtani #85 Orange Refractor

Is the 2024 Topps Chrome Black Shohei Ohtani #85 Orange Refractor worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-06-22 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value

$508.43

PSA 9 value

$691.45

PSA 10 value

$1,450.00

PSA 10 gem rate

85.7%

Based on the numbers below, this card is a strong grading candidate at current prices: a PSA 10 nets an estimated $653 profit and 85.7% of recent submissions gemmed.

The breakeven math

Line item	Amount
Raw purchase	$508.43
Sales tax (8%)	$40.67
Grading fee (value tier)	$25.00
Shipping	$5.00
Total cost basis	$579.10
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout)	+$653.40 (+113%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case)	+$8.63

Assumptions: $25 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

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Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (14 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing