Cards › 2025 Topps Chrome Black Shohei Ohtani #50 Gold Refractor

Is the 2025 Topps Chrome Black Shohei Ohtani #50 Gold Refractor worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-10-21 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value

$665.54

PSA 9 value

$640.68

PSA 10 value

$1,085.49

PSA 10 gem rate

35.7%

Based on the numbers below, this card is potentially worth grading — a PSA 10 nets an estimated $119, but the 35.7% gem rate means the 10 is far from guaranteed. Weigh the PSA 9 outcome below.

The breakeven math

Line item	Amount
Raw purchase	$665.54
Sales tax (8%)	$53.24
Grading fee (priority tier)	$80.00
Shipping	$5.00
Total cost basis	$803.78
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout)	+$118.88 (+15%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case)	−$259.21

Assumptions: $80 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

Run this card with YOUR costs

Set your own grading tier, tax rate, and payout — then screen the entire catalog for cards that beat this one. Free for 14 days, no credit card.

Start free trial

Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (28 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing