Cards › 2025 Topps Shohei Ohtani #1 True Photo
Is the 2025 Topps Shohei Ohtani #1 True Photo worth grading?
Live market numbers as of 2026-06-22 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.
Raw value
$404.06
PSA 9 value
$610.00
PSA 10 value
$1,572.32
PSA 10 gem rate
26.9%
Based on the numbers below, this card is potentially worth grading — a PSA 10 nets an estimated $870, but the 26.9% gem rate means the 10 is far from guaranteed. Weigh the PSA 9 outcome below.
The breakeven math
| Line item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Raw purchase | $404.06 |
| Sales tax (8%) | $32.32 |
| Grading fee (value tier) | $25.00 |
| Shipping | $5.00 |
| Total cost basis | $466.38 |
| Net at PSA 10 (85% payout) | +$870.09 (+187%) |
| Net at PSA 9 (the downside case) | +$52.12 |
Assumptions: $25 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.
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Start free trialCard pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (26 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing